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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $17.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 12:09computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,956
72h +$5,956
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 12:09Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$17.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,956, +$5,956 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 12:09
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$47
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$57
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$47
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$57
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$1
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$26
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$10
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$26
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$10
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$4
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$4
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$14
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$17
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$8
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$14
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$8
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$14
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$7
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$11
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$34
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$17
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$108
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,871
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$99
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$108
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,871
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$99
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown98¢$5
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown95¢$0
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown96¢$13
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown96¢$7
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown96¢$1
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown96¢$1
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown96¢$1
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$20
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown95¢$38
2h agoarcsine-barristerMidSellDown94¢$14