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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:08computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$19.9K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:08Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$19.9K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$3,992
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$2
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,998
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$921
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$3,005
1d agoVortexTradingMidBuyUp99¢$30
1d agoVortexTradingMidBuyUp99¢$48
1d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$500
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d agoVortexTradingMidBuyUp99¢$30
1d agoVortexTradingMidBuyUp99¢$48
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
1d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$500
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$1
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$1
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$571
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$571
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyUp100¢$244
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$200
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$90
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$9
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp99¢$3,465
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp99¢$3,465
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp95¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown13¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown13¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$6
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$6
1d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyDown23¢$26
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp76¢$8
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp76¢$8
1d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyDown27¢$26
1d ago0xe956…d21cMidBuyDown26¢$100
1d ago0xe956…d21cMidBuyDown26¢$100
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp75¢$5
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp75¢$3
1d ago0xe956…d21cMidBuyUp53¢$10
1d ago0xe956…d21cMidBuyUp53¢$10