Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.1K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.1K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $109 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $109 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 1d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3,438 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3,438 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 7.4¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 7.4¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |