Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,879
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,879 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $236 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $236 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $89 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $89 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $155 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $155 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $50 |