Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,389
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,389 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $58 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $58 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $303 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 4.3¢ | $30 |