Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,045
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,045 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $81 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $297 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $163 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $319 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $319 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $319 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $319 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $56 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $190 |