Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,767
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,767 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $124 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $649 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $124 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $649 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,326 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,326 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $2 |