Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,593
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 05:08Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,593 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $240 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $240 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $243 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $620 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $620 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $66 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $66 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |