Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,594
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,594 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $294 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $294 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $234 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $234 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $46 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |