Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.7K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,141
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 05:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.7K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,141 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $212 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $144 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $144 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $212 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $672 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $672 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,302 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,302 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $157 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $157 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $48 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $4 |