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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
14
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$28.9K
Smart money entered95¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

14 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$28.9K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$769
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$769
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$130
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$130
1d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$28
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$334
1d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$4,661
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4,010
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$985
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$4,959
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$999
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown100¢$9
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown100¢$47
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown100¢$100
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown100¢$1
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown100¢$90
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown100¢$4
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$28
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$33
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$50
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp0.9¢$5
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp0.9¢$3
1d ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$495
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp0.9¢$3
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp0.9¢$5
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown99¢$248
1d ago0x9566…6f25MidBuyDown99¢$53
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.1¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
1d ago0x9566…6f25MidBuyDown99¢$53
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown95¢$85
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown98¢$3
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown95¢$85
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp22¢$3
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp11¢$1
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$89
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3,361
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3,361
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$102
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$99
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$102
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98