Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $5,780·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,916
Smart money entered87¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$5,780
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,916 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $188 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $188 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $173 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $5 |