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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,742
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,742 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$16
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$73
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$999
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$117
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$16
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$21
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,386
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$2,997
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$300
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$111
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$81
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$0
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$15
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$12
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$80
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$20
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
1d agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1,852
1d agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1,852
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$74
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$74
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown9.0¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown10¢$3
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown12¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown10¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown11¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown11¢$2
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown11¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown11¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$5
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$5
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$17
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$3
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$2
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown16¢$1
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown3.6¢$2
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown3.6¢$2
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$87
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$9
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$87
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$9
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$2
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0