Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $5,939·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
12
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.9K
Smart money entered84¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$5,939
Explanation
12 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.9K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $381 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $381 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $220 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,960 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,960 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $243 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $243 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $79 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $76 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $76 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $79 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $211 |
| 1d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $211 |
| 1d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $8 |