Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,998·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,123
Smart money entered90¢100¢at 04:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,998
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,123 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $115 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $115 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $489 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $489 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $1,114 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $2,217 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |