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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
11
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.7K
Smart money entered94¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

11 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.7K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,970
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp1.0¢$5
1d ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$286
1d ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$209
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp2.0¢$4
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp2.0¢$4
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp2.0¢$7
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp2.0¢$1
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown98¢$5
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp2.0¢$1
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$1,485
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$1,485
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$862
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2,603
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown96¢$96
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$67
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$67
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown96¢$96
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$30
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$30
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp9.0¢$0
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown95¢$14
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown90¢$9
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp12¢$7
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp14¢$1
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown91¢$32
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown90¢$23
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyUp20¢$7
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp18¢$10
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyUp18¢$1
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyUp18¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$2
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$24
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$5
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$8
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$6
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown79¢$5
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp29¢$9
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyUp31¢$5