Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,891·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,805
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,891
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,805 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $199 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $199 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $157 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $109 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $225 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $157 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $130 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $85 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $109 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $9 |