Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$16.8K
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 04:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$13.0K
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$16.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $1,452 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $3,388 |
| 1d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $200 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $3,388 |
| 1d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $200 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $89 |
| 1d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $89 |
| 1d ago | 0x1859…4d37Mid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $13 |