Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,945·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.5K
Smart money entered85¢99¢at 04:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,945
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $258 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $34 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $34 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,404 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $801 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $172 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $172 |
| 1d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $801 |