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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
52%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,116
Smart money entered76¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,116 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown99¢$66
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$5
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$24
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$50
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$20
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$5
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$24
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$50
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$20
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown99¢$66
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyDown99¢$14
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$97
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$17
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$17
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$97
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyDown99¢$14
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$2
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$1
1d ago0x1859…4d37MidBuyDown94¢$122
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp15¢$12
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown93¢$124
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown84¢$6
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown84¢$3
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown95¢$95
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown93¢$10
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown84¢$6
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown93¢$10
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown84¢$3
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown95¢$95
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown85¢$12
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown83¢$208
1d ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown83¢$208
1d agoBossgirlTopBuyDown85¢$12
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp42¢$6
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp45¢$4
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$2
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp45¢$0
1d agoply-pm4MidBuyDown41¢$7
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyDown68¢$54
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp59¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp59¢$11
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp32¢$3
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp57¢$5