Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$16.5K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.0K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$16.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $414 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,421 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $104 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,421 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $104 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |