Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,790
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.4K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,790 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,204 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,204 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $241 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $176 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $3 |