Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.3K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.3K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.3K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $877 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $1,756 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $877 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $1,756 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $127 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $127 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,460 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,460 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $1,600 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $1,600 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 74¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $6 |