Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,026
Smart money entered52¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,026 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $1,610 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $1,610 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $344 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $1,146 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $344 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $1,146 |