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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:11computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
85%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$160 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$391
Smart money entered50¢0.0¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $160 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $160 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$391 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellDown98¢$145
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellDown98¢$145
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$2
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp6.0¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown80¢$80
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$5
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown81¢$21
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$5
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown82¢$21
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown32¢$48
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$2
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown33¢$5
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown32¢$48
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp71¢$26
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp71¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$22
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$10
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$34
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp69¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown27¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown31¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown31¢$2
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp82¢$6