Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,848
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.8K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,848 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $3 |