Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,612
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.4K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,612 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $887 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $887 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $288 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 91¢ | $267 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 91¢ | $267 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $64 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $10 |