Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,989·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,336
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,989
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,336 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $455 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $455 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $108 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $153 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |