Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,293
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,293 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $674 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $674 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $203 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $203 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $203 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $203 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,522 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,522 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $560 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $560 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $5 |