Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,212
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.2K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,212 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $566 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $566 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 3.3¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $292 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 4.8¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $292 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $443 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $443 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |