Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,767
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:30Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,767 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $122 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $114 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $444 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $444 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $444 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $263 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $493 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $205 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $185 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,009 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,009 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $1 |