Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.2K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,644
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.2K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,644 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $468 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $468 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $468 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $468 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $340 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $340 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $302 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $302 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $63 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $63 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,544 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,544 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $450 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $450 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $0 |