Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,054
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 05:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,054 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.8¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $233 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $234 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $272 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $233 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $233 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $72 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $388 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,725 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $400 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $400 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 69¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $4 |