Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$19.9K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.9K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$19.9K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,423 |
| 2d ago | 0xb6c3…4a42Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $240 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,298 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,423 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,099 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 72¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 72¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 56¢ | $6 |