Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,554
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,554 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $1,781 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $1,781 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,484 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $69 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $69 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,484 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $46 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $315 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $1,108 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $5 |