Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,856
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.9K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,856 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $167 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $167 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $201 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $201 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,811 |