Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,462·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,909
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,462
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,909 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $1,021 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $1,021 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $5 |