Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,306
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,306 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $1,113 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $356 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $356 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $1,113 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $90 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $90 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $5 |