Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,298
Smart money entered91¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,298 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $135 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $135 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $406 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,090 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,048 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $206 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $1,000 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 77¢ | $106 |
| 2d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 77¢ | $106 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 27¢ | $465 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 23¢ | $739 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 27¢ | $465 |
| 2d ago | thantiiMid | Sell | Down | 23¢ | $739 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 67¢ | $17 |