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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:11computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,276
Smart money entered89¢100¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,276 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$50
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$34
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$70
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$10
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$5
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$30
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown3.0¢$1
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown2.0¢$0
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown2.0¢$1
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown15¢$6
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
2d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown8.0¢$0
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp83¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp84¢$10
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp83¢$44
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp83¢$21
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp83¢$8
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp64¢$64
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp56¢$10
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp56¢$28
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp57¢$8
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp59¢$56
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp57¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp57¢$59
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp55¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp57¢$59
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp40¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp40¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp35¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown56¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown56¢$11
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown60¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown60¢$29
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$25
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown56¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown56¢$0
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$4
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown61¢$5
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown56¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$6
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$6
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$1
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$3
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown60¢$18
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown60¢$7
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$12
2d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown58¢$7