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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:30computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,739
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:30Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,739 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$1,499
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$200
2d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$1,499
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$49
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$49
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp1.0¢$5
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp1.0¢$0
2d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyDown99¢$234
2d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellDown98¢$57
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown95¢$21
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown95¢$29
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown96¢$27
2d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown96¢$31
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$1
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown95¢$29
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown95¢$21
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp7.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp6.0¢$3
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp8.0¢$1
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp7.0¢$2
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp8.0¢$0
2d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp9.0¢$0