Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,355
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.6K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,355 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $103 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $103 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $462 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $462 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.4¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.4¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $108 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $134 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $190 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $134 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $190 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $108 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $116 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $142 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |