Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,831·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.4K
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,831
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.4K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $837 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $837 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $656 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $656 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,260 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,260 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,191 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,185 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,191 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,185 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $172 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $172 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |