Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,751·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,340
Smart money entered78¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,751
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,340 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $178 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $178 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |