Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $5,757·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.1K
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 04:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$5,757
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.1K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | robustmstMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | robustmstMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | robustmstMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,458 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,458 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $7 |