Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,051
72h +$7,051
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 02:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,051, +$7,051 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $534 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $534 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,829 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,829 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $37 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $17 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $32 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $4 |