Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$67 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$277
72h +$277
Smart money entered50¢0.0¢at 02:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $67 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $67 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$277, +$277 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 89¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 90¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $34 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 86¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 86¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 86¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 86¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 84¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 75¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 84¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 83¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $37 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | arcsine-barristerMid | Sell | Down | 92¢ | $0 |