Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,341
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,341 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $493 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $109 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $493 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $880 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $880 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $118 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $6 |