Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $6,162·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,455
Smart money entered81¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$6,162
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,455 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $228 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $228 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $132 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 87¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $82 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $1 |