TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:05computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,239
72h +$8,239
Smart money entered94¢0.0¢at 02:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,239, +$8,239 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$0
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,903
2h ago0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518MidBuyDown99¢$1,833
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$0
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,903
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$3
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$62
2h ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown98¢$88
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown98¢$20
2h ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown98¢$88
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown98¢$20
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$1
2h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2h agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp3.0¢$0
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$2
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp4.0¢$2
2h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown90¢$6
2h agoBossgirlTopBuyDown90¢$6
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp5.0¢$3
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp6.0¢$1
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp6.0¢$2
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown90¢$42
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown90¢$42
2h ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown90¢$162
2h ago0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489MidBuyDown90¢$162
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown90¢$107
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown90¢$107
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown82¢$826
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown82¢$826
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown81¢$777
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown73¢$14
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown74¢$16
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown75¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown75¢$5
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown73¢$14
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown74¢$16
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown68¢$1
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown68¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown75¢$44
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown68¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown68¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown68¢$4
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp34¢$5
2h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp37¢$11
2h agoAtomforgeMidBuyDown66¢$7